What are the chances of Obama winning the election of 2012 and why?

In the 2012 election, what are the chances of Obama winning? and why? Also if you can answer..what is payroll tax cut and is it good or bad?What are the chances of Obama winning the election of 2012 and why?If Bin Laden show a new videotape that he is still alive and planning to attack the USA. I think Obama will win.What are the chances of Obama winning the election of 2012 and why?
It's difficult to say. But Borrock Sobama is up and running -



"All this because of Damin, the absolute ruler,

Whose vision had brought the whole plan together.

Although Dr. Lee had made a prediction

Of four more years of constant provocation,

George was confident that with DAPE鈥檚 support

Any further ripostes would come to nought.

And, of course, Sobama could tell

That the power of DAPE might eventually propel

A black man like him to the highest position,

The Presidency of the American nation."



from "The Adventures of George"What are the chances of Obama winning the election of 2012 and why?If he had got Bin Laden on the day before the election it would have been a slam dunk. But the current situation in the economy may just prove to be too much to give him a victory.What are the chances of Obama winning the election of 2012 and why?
HE HAS BETTER CHANCE OF BEING HIT BY A LIGHTNING THAN BEING REELECTED.What are the chances of Obama winning the election of 2012 and why?80What are the chances of Obama winning the election of 2012 and why?
Can't tell right now